What it is and how it differs
What is retatrutide?
A once-weekly injection being developed by Eli Lilly that activates three hormone receptors at once: GIP, GLP-1 and glucagon. It is still investigational and is not approved in any country.1,35
Evidence
- It is a single peptide attached to a fatty acid chain, which lets it circulate for about 6 days, so one injection a week is enough.10,15
- Lilly's code name is LY3437943. The Phase 3 obesity program is called TRIUMPH and the type 2 diabetes program is called TRANSCEND.4,6
- Five Phase 3 readouts had been reported as of 23 Sep 2026: TRIUMPH-1, -2, -3, -4 and TRANSCEND-T2D-1.4
How is it different from semaglutide (Wegovy) and tirzepatide (Zepbound)?
Semaglutide acts on one receptor (GLP-1). Tirzepatide acts on two (GIP and GLP-1). Retatrutide adds a third, the glucagon receptor, which is thought to raise energy use and burn liver fat rather than only reduce appetite.10,57
Receptor pharmacology
Compared with the body's own hormones, retatrutide is about 8.9 times as potent at the GIP receptor, 0.4 times as potent at the GLP-1 receptor and 0.3 times as potent at the glucagon receptor.10 In other words it leans heavily on GIP, with a deliberately moderate glucagon signal.
| Drug | GLP-1 | GIP | Glucagon | Status (Sep 2026) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Semaglutide (Wegovy) | Yes | No | No | Approved51 |
| Tirzepatide (Zepbound) | Yes | Yes | No | Approved50 |
| Retatrutide | Yes | Yes | Yes | Investigational35 |
Why glucagon matters
- Energy expenditure. In fasted people, a glucagon infusion raised energy expenditure by about 230 kcal a day. The same review cautions that most mechanistic data come from rodents.57 In mice, the glucagon component of retatrutide added to weight loss by increasing energy use.14
- Human data are pending. A Lilly study measuring calorie intake and energy expenditure on retatrutide (NCT06313528, 85 participants) finished in August 2025 but has posted no results.63 The Phase 2 authors only speculated that glucagon agonism may add energy expenditure.10
- Liver fat. Glucagon drives fat burning in the liver. In the Phase 2 liver substudy, liver fat fell by 86.0% at 48 weeks on 12 mg, and 93% of that group reached normal liver fat.11
What it may mean for side effects
- Glucagon and GLP-1 can both speed up the heart. In Phase 2, heart rate rose with dose, peaked at 24 weeks and then declined, which the authors called similar to GLP-1 drugs.10
- The GI side effects look like those of other incretin drugs.1 A newer signal, dysesthesia (unusual skin sensations), has not been a prominent feature of semaglutide or tirzepatide trials. See the safety section.
How much weight people lost
What were the headline weight-loss results?
In TRIUMPH-1, the main obesity trial, people without diabetes on the 12 mg dose lost an average of 28.3% of body weight at 80 weeks if they stayed on treatment, or 25.0% counting everyone randomized. Placebo lost 2.2% and 3.9% on the same two measures.1
- At 80 weeks the three doses produced 19.0%, 25.9% and 28.3% weight loss (efficacy estimand), or 17.6%, 23.7% and 25.0% (treatment-regimen estimand).1
- On 12 mg the average loss was 31.9 kg (70.3 lb) from a baseline of 112.7 kg (BMI 40.0).1
- Share losing 25% or more: 27.8%, 52.9% and 62.5% vs 2.2% on placebo. Share losing 35% or more: 5.9%, 20.8% and 27.2% vs 0.3%.1
- Of people who started with BMI 40 or higher, 37.5% on 12 mg ended below BMI 30.1
What do "efficacy estimand" and "treatment-regimen estimand" mean?
They answer two different questions. The efficacy estimand asks what happens if people keep taking the drug as planned. The treatment-regimen estimand asks what happens to everyone who was assigned the drug, including people who stopped. The second number is lower and is closer to real-world use.58,1
- An estimand is the precise definition of the treatment effect a trial is trying to measure, including how it handles events such as stopping the drug.58
- Lilly headlines efficacy-estimand results. For TRIUMPH-1 the gap between the two is 3.3 percentage points at 12 mg (28.3% vs 25.0%).1
- TRIUMPH-2 and TRIUMPH-3 toplines reported only efficacy-estimand figures, so treatment-regimen numbers for those trials are not yet public.4
- The Phase 2 NEJM paper also reported the efficacy estimand.10
How do the results compare across every trial and dose?
Weight loss was largest in people without diabetes (TRIUMPH-1, TRIUMPH-4) and smaller in people with type 2 diabetes (TRIUMPH-2, TRANSCEND-T2D-1), a pattern also seen with semaglutide and tirzepatide. Higher doses generally lost more, with smaller gains from 9 mg to 12 mg.1,4,5,6
Mean weight loss by trial and dose (efficacy estimand, %)
Bars show mean percent weight loss from baseline at each trial's primary time point. Trial lengths differ (40 to 104 weeks), so compare within a trial rather than across trials. Values come from the data table below and its cited sources.1,4,5,6,9
| Source |
|---|
N is the number randomized in the whole trial (TRIUMPH-1 extension: participants enrolled in the extension). Lilly reports 2,339 randomized in TRIUMPH-1 while the registry lists 2,335 actual enrollment; for TRIUMPH-3 Lilly reports 1,949 and the registry 1,946.1,16,4,18 In the Phase 2 row, only the 12 mg and placebo discontinuation rates were extracted.10
Does weight loss keep going, or does it level off?
People kept losing weight between 80 and 104 weeks in the TRIUMPH-1 extension, reaching 30.3% on 12 mg. Lilly described this as continued weight loss; it did not state that there was no plateau for this trial.1
- The extension enrolled 532 participants with BMI 35 or higher who completed 80 weeks and tolerated their dose. They continued for 24 more weeks, with a blinded move to the maximum tolerated dose (9 mg or 12 mg).1
- 104-week results: 27.9%, 29.5% and 30.3% for the 4, 9 and 12 mg starting groups; the former placebo group, switched to retatrutide, lost 19.2%.1
- Because every arm was moved up to its maximum tolerated dose after week 80, the extension does not show what a fixed dose does over two years.1
- The claim that weight loss showed "no plateau" at 104 weeks unverified is not stated in Lilly's TRIUMPH-1 materials. In Phase 2, weight loss had not plateaued at 48 weeks.10
How does that compare with tirzepatide and semaglutide?
Numerically, retatrutide's weight loss is higher than published results for tirzepatide and semaglutide. But no head-to-head result exists yet, and the trials differ in length, population and estimand. The direct comparison with tirzepatide, TRIUMPH-5, is expected to reach primary completion in November 2026.20
| Trial and dose | Weeks | Treatment-regimen % | Efficacy % | Placebo % | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STEP 1, semaglutide 2.4 mg | 68 | -14.9 | NR | -2.4 | 45 |
| SURMOUNT-1, tirzepatide 15 mg | 72 | -20.9 | -22.5 | -3.1 | 43,44 |
| TRIUMPH-1, retatrutide 12 mg | 80 | -25.0 | -28.3 | -3.9 | 1 |
Placebo column uses the treatment-regimen or treatment-policy figure. In the only published head-to-head of the older two drugs, SURMOUNT-5, tirzepatide produced 20.2% weight loss vs 13.7% for semaglutide at 72 weeks.47
Fat versus lean mass
Is the weight lost mostly fat, or muscle too?
The only body-composition scan data come from a small Phase 2 substudy in type 2 diabetes. It found large fat-mass reductions and a lean-mass share of weight loss similar to other obesity drugs. No DXA results from the Phase 3 trials have been published.13,3
- DXA substudy of the Phase 2 diabetes trial: total fat mass fell 26.1% on 8 mg and 23.2% on 12 mg at 36 weeks, vs 4.5% on placebo.13
- Only 103 participants had usable scans at both time points, so the estimates are imprecise.13
- The authors describe the proportion of lean mass lost as similar to other obesity treatments. The exact lean-mass percentage unverified could not be confirmed from the accessible abstract.13
- MRI in the Phase 2 liver substudy showed visceral (belly-organ) fat falling 16.1% to 48.3% at 48 weeks across doses, vs a 2.5% rise on placebo.11
- The TRIUMPH-1 ADA presentation did not report body composition or liver fat.3
Cardiometabolic effects
What did it do to blood sugar (HbA1c)?
In people with type 2 diabetes, HbA1c fell by up to 2.0 points in 40 weeks (TRANSCEND-T2D-1) and up to 1.6 points in 80 weeks (TRIUMPH-2). In people with prediabetes, most returned to normal blood sugar.6,4,3
- TRANSCEND-T2D-1 (baseline HbA1c 7.9%): -1.7, -2.0 and -1.9 points on 4, 9 and 12 mg vs -0.8 on placebo (efficacy estimand).6 Treatment-regimen: -1.69, -1.86 and -1.94 vs -0.81.7
- Reaching HbA1c under 7.0%: 84.0%, 88.9% and 90.4% vs 52.1%. Reaching the non-diabetic range (under 5.7%): 36.6%, 45.7% and 39.0% vs 14.1%.8
- TRIUMPH-2 (baseline 7.7%): -1.4, -1.6 and -1.5 points vs -0.2. The largest drop was on 9 mg, not 12 mg.4
- TRIUMPH-1 (no diabetes): of the 36.1% with prediabetes, 88.7%, 92.1% and 95.7% returned to normal glucose vs 48.7% on placebo.3
- Phase 2 diabetes trial: HbA1c fell up to 2.02 points at 24 weeks.12
- No severe hypoglycemia was reported in TRANSCEND-T2D-1.8
What about blood pressure, cholesterol, triglycerides and inflammation?
All moved in a favorable direction. In TRIUMPH-1, triglycerides fell about 41%, LDL cholesterol about 20%, systolic blood pressure about 12 mmHg and hsCRP (an inflammation marker) about 64% at the higher doses.3
| Measure (baseline) | 4 mg | 9 mg | 12 mg | Placebo | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Triglycerides % (121.0 mg/dL) | -34.0 | -40.8 | -41.0 | -5.0 | 3 |
| LDL cholesterol % (112.8 mg/dL) | -15.1 | -20.3 | -19.6 | -2.1 | 3 |
| Systolic BP mmHg (126.8) | -8.5 | -11.3 | -12.3 | -1.1 | 3 |
| hsCRP % (4.0 mg/L) | -57.9 | -63.5 | -63.8 | -23.5 | 3 |
| Waist cm (118.3) | -16.3 | -21.8 | -24.1 | -3.6 | 1 |
- Non-HDL cholesterol fell up to 24.2% in TRIUMPH-1.2
- TRIUMPH-3 (established heart disease), 12 mg: triglycerides -37.0%, non-HDL cholesterol -16.5%, systolic BP -9.3 mmHg, waist -19.0 cm, hsCRP -51.2%. Lilly did not report 9 mg or placebo values for these.4
- TRANSCEND-T2D-1: triglycerides down up to 39.6%, non-HDL cholesterol up to 19.8%, systolic BP up to 6.4 mmHg.2
- TRIUMPH-4: systolic BP -14.0 mmHg on 12 mg.5
- Phase 2: LDL fell about 20%, and 41% (8 mg) and 30% (12 mg) of people on blood pressure drugs stopped at least one.10
Did it reduce heart attacks or strokes?
Not proven. TRIUMPH-3 counted too few cardiovascular events to tell, and its confidence intervals include both benefit and harm. The dedicated outcomes trial will not finish until about 2029.4,21
- TRIUMPH-3, pooled doses vs placebo: 44 vs 52 five-component MACE events, hazard ratio 0.82 (95% CI 0.55 to 1.22); 27 vs 23 three-component MACE events, hazard ratio 1.12 (0.64 to 1.96).4
- Lilly said events were less frequent than anticipated in both arms.4
- TRIUMPH-Outcomes (NCT06383390) enrolled about 10,000 adults aged 45+ with atherosclerotic disease or chronic kidney disease; primary completion is estimated for February 2029.21
What happened to liver fat?
It fell dramatically in Phase 2: 86.0% on 12 mg at 48 weeks, with 93% reaching normal liver fat. No Phase 3 liver data have been reported, and liver outcomes are being tested in a separate trial.11,23
- Substudy of 98 people with at least 10% liver fat. Relative reduction at 24 weeks: 81.4% (8 mg) and 82.4% (12 mg); at 48 weeks: 81.7% and 86.0%, vs 4.6% on placebo.11
- Normal liver fat (under 5%) at 48 weeks: 89% on 8 mg and 93% on 12 mg.11
- Caveat: only 43.9% of substudy participants had a week-48 MRI.11
- A master protocol (NCT07165028) is recruiting about 4,500 people with MASLD at risk of major liver outcomes; primary completion is estimated for August 2030.23
Did it help sleep apnea and knee osteoarthritis?
Yes, in trial settings. In moderate-to-severe sleep apnea, breathing interruptions fell by about 34 to 36 events per hour on 9 to 12 mg. In knee osteoarthritis, pain scores fell by roughly three quarters in TRIUMPH-4.3,5
Obstructive sleep apnea (TRIUMPH-1 basket, n=243)
- Baseline apnea-hypopnea index (AHI) was 58.6 events per hour, in the severe range.3,50
- Change at 80 weeks: -25.7, -36.1 and -33.8 events per hour on 4, 9 and 12 mg vs -11.1 on placebo (efficacy estimand); -22.9, -34.3 and -31.7 vs -9.9 (treatment-regimen).3
- The OSA group was 63.4% male and 80.2% Hispanic, which may limit how well it represents other populations.3
Knee osteoarthritis
- TRIUMPH-4 (68 weeks): WOMAC pain fell 4.5 points (-75.8%) on 9 mg and 4.4 (-74.3%) on 12 mg from a baseline of 6.0, vs 2.4 (-40.3%) on placebo. Physical function improved by 4.1 and 4.2 points vs 2.1.5
- TRIUMPH-1 knee basket (n=574, 80 weeks): WOMAC pain -3.66, -4.19 and -4.30 vs -2.24.3
- Placebo groups improved substantially too, so the drug-specific effect is the difference between arms.5
Side effects and safety
What are the most common side effects?
Gastrointestinal effects: nausea, diarrhea, constipation and vomiting. On 12 mg in TRIUMPH-1, 42.4% reported nausea, 32.0% diarrhea, 26.1% constipation and 25.3% vomiting, compared with 14.8%, 13.5%, 10.9% and 4.8% on placebo.1
For TRIUMPH-1 the UTI column shows Lilly's press-release figure. The ADA slide, using a single preferred term, lists 6.8%, 8.1% and 8.1% vs 4.8%.1,3 Phase 2 dysesthesia is the "hyperesthesia or related" grouping.10
When do GI side effects happen, and can titration reduce them?
In Phase 2, GI effects were dose-related, mostly mild to moderate, and happened mainly while the dose was being increased. Starting lower helped: nausea on 8 mg was 17% with a 2 mg start vs 60% with a 4 mg start.10
- Phase 3 therefore starts everyone at 2 mg and steps up every 4 weeks.1
- In TRIUMPH-1, 2.2%, 3.8% and 4.6% stopped because of GI events vs 1.2% on placebo.3
- Week-by-week timing curves for Phase 3 GI events have not yet been published in a journal.
- TRIUMPH-9 (NCT07357415) is testing three different escalation schemes over 104 weeks.25
What is dysesthesia, and how common was it?
Dysesthesia means abnormal skin sensations such as tingling, burning or sensitivity to touch. It was reported in up to 12.5% on 12 mg in TRIUMPH-1 and 20.9% on 12 mg in TRIUMPH-4, vs about 1% on placebo. Lilly says most cases were mild to moderate and resolved during treatment.1,5
- TRIUMPH-1: 5.1%, 12.3%, 12.5% vs 0.9%.1 TRIUMPH-2: 4.5%, 5.6%, 7.3% vs 0.7%.4 TRIUMPH-3: 6.4%, 6.4% vs 1.3%.4 TRIUMPH-4: 8.8%, 20.9% vs 0.7%.5
- In Phase 2, skin-sensation events were 7% vs 1%; none were severe or serious and none were linked to visible skin findings.10
- The cause is not known. The rate varies widely between trials, which is one reason regulators may ask for more detail.
What about urinary tract infections, heart rate and blood pressure drops?
UTIs were modestly more common than on placebo. Heart rate rose in Phase 2 in a dose-dependent way. Low-blood-pressure events were more frequent on higher doses in TRIUMPH-1.1,10,3
- UTI: TRIUMPH-1 7.5%, 8.8%, 8.4% vs 5.3%.1 TRIUMPH-3 6.1%, 7.0% vs 5.3%.4 In TRIUMPH-2 the placebo rate (6.6%) was between the dose rates (3.8% to 8.0%).4
- Heart rate: Phase 2 showed a dose-dependent rise peaking at 24 weeks.10 The size of the rise in beats per minute unverified is not in the main paper, and Phase 3 heart-rate data have not been published. For context, labels list increases of 1 to 3 bpm for tirzepatide and 1 to 4 bpm for semaglutide.50,51
- Arrhythmia: Phase 2 cardiac arrhythmia events were 11% on 12 mg vs 3% on placebo, mostly mild to moderate.10 In TRIUMPH-1, severe or serious arrhythmia or conduction events were 0.2%, 0.7% and 0.9% vs 0.9%.3
- Low blood pressure: hypotension-related events in TRIUMPH-1 were 2.7%, 5.3% and 8.8% vs 0.9%.3 Dizziness: 5.0%, 8.9%, 12.0% vs 3.1%.3
- Injection-site reactions: 5.5%, 8.9%, 12.2% vs 3.8%.3
How often were side effects serious, or bad enough to stop?
Serious adverse events in TRIUMPH-1 were 7.7% to 10.5% on retatrutide vs 5.5% on placebo. Stopping because of side effects ranged from 4.1% to 11.3% in TRIUMPH-1 and reached 18.2% on 12 mg in TRIUMPH-4.3,1,5
- TRIUMPH-1 serious adverse events: 7.7%, 7.7%, 10.5% vs 5.5%. Deaths: 0, 3 and 1 vs 2.3
- Adjudicated pancreatitis in TRIUMPH-1: 0.2%, 0.5%, 0.7% vs 0.3%.3
- TRANSCEND-T2D-1 serious adverse events: 4.5%, 0.8%, 3.7% vs 1.5%; two deaths, both on 4 mg, judged unrelated to the drug.8,7
- TRIUMPH-2 discontinuation was highest on 9 mg (11.6%), not 12 mg (7.7%).4
- In TRIUMPH-4, people with BMI 35 or higher stopped less often (8.8% and 12.1% vs 4.8%).5
- In TRIUMPH-3, hyperglycemia was reported less often on retatrutide (3.9%, 3.1%) than placebo (13.4%).4
Is it harder to tolerate than tirzepatide or semaglutide?
Its GI side-effect rates are in the same general range as semaglutide and somewhat higher than tirzepatide's at top doses, and its 12 mg discontinuation rate is higher than either. These are cross-trial comparisons, not head-to-head results, so they can mislead.1,44,46,43
| Trial and dose | Nausea | Diarrhea | Vomiting | Constipation | Stopped for AE | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STEP 1, semaglutide 2.4 mg | 44.1 vs 17.4 | 31.5 vs 15.9 | 24.6 vs 6.6 | 23.4 vs 9.5 | 6.8 vs 3.2 | 46,51 |
| SURMOUNT-1, tirzepatide 15 mg | 31.0 vs 9.5 | 23.0 vs 7.3 | 12.2 vs 1.7 | 11.7 vs 5.8 | 6.2 vs 2.6 | 44,43 |
| TRIUMPH-1, retatrutide 12 mg | 42.4 vs 14.8 | 32.0 vs 13.5 | 25.3 vs 4.8 | 26.1 vs 10.9 | 11.3 vs 4.9 | 1 |
Dosing and titration
What do the 4, 9 and 12 mg arms mean, and how was the dose raised?
They are the weekly maintenance doses people were randomized to. Everyone started at 2 mg once a week and stepped up every 4 weeks: 4 mg is reached after one step, 9 mg via 2, 4 and 6 mg, and 12 mg via 2, 4, 6 and 9 mg.1,4
| Target | Wk 0 to 3 | Wk 4 to 7 | Wk 8 to 11 | Wk 12 to 15 | Wk 16 on | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 mg | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 |
| 9 mg | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 1 |
| 12 mg | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 1 |
Week ranges are derived from Lilly's description of 4-week steps.1 Phase 2 used 1, 4, 8 and 12 mg arms with 2 mg or 4 mg starting doses.10
- TRIUMPH-3 and TRIUMPH-4 tested only 9 and 12 mg.4,5
- Lilly highlighted that 4 mg, with a single escalation step, reached nearly 20% weight loss in TRIUMPH-1 (19.0%).1
What might a long-term maintenance regimen look like?
Unknown until TRIUMPH-6 reports, estimated 2028. That trial treats people for 80 weeks on one dose, then randomizes them to stay on it, switch to a second dose, or switch to placebo for 36 weeks.24
- TRIUMPH-6 (NCT06859268): 643 participants, Phase 3b, primary endpoint at week 116, primary completion estimated April 2028. The registry does not name the doses.24
- The TRIUMPH-1 extension and the outcomes trial both use escalation to a maximum tolerated dose, suggesting a flexible approach may be studied for long-term use.1,21
- TRIUMPH-8 (NCT07232719) tests two doses vs placebo over 56 weeks.26
Who was studied and who was excluded
Do I resemble the people in these trials?
Trial participants were adults with obesity (BMI 30+) or overweight (BMI 27+) with a weight-related condition. Most had severe obesity: in TRIUMPH-1 the average BMI was 40.0 and 77.4% had BMI 35 or higher. People with recent weight-loss drug use, recent large weight change, pancreatitis or certain thyroid cancer risks were excluded.16,1,3
| Trial | Main inclusion | Diabetes | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| TRIUMPH-1 | BMI 30+, or 27+ with hypertension, dyslipidemia, OSA or heart disease; one failed diet attempt | Excluded | 16 |
| TRIUMPH-2 | BMI 27+; stable diabetes treatment for 90 days | Required | 17 |
| TRIUMPH-3 | BMI 35+ plus prior heart attack, stroke or symptomatic peripheral artery disease | Allowed | 18,4 |
| TRIUMPH-4 | BMI 27+; knee osteoarthritis, X-ray grade 2 or 3 | Excluded | 19 |
| TRANSCEND-T2D-1 | HbA1c 7.0% to 9.5%; BMI 23+; no glucose-lowering drugs for 90 days | Required | 28 |
Common exclusions
- Weight-loss drugs, including over-the-counter products, within 90 days of screening. Earlier use of GLP-1 drugs is not listed as an exclusion in the registry summaries.17,18,19
- Weight change of more than 5 kg (11 lb) in the prior 90 days, prior or planned bariatric surgery, type 1 diabetes, a history of pancreatitis, and a personal or family history of medullary thyroid cancer or MEN-2.17,18
- A heart attack, stroke or heart-failure hospitalization within 90 days (TRIUMPH-3).18
Age and makeup
- Phase 3 registry records set a minimum age of 18 with no stated upper limit. Phase 2 enrolled ages 18 to 75, with BMI 27 to under 30 allowed only alongside hypertension, dyslipidemia or cardiovascular disease.16,10,64
- TRIUMPH-4 participants averaged BMI 40.4 and 84.0% had BMI 35 or higher.5 TRANSCEND-T2D-1 participants averaged age 48.8 and BMI 35.8.7
- If your BMI is between 27 and 35, you are less represented in the pivotal data than people with severe obesity.3
Lilly's TRIUMPH-4 release prints NCT05869903, which the registry lists as a different study. TRIUMPH-4 is NCT05931367.19
What happens when you stop
Will the weight come back if I stop?
There are no published data on stopping retatrutide. Evidence from similar drugs suggests much of the weight returns: one year after stopping semaglutide, people regained about two thirds of what they had lost.10,48
- Phase 2 followed people for only 4 weeks after the last dose; TRIUMPH-2 also had a 4-week follow-up.10,4
- STEP 1 extension: after stopping semaglutide, participants regained 11.6 of the 17.3 percentage points lost.48
- SURMOUNT-4: people switched from tirzepatide to placebo after 36 weeks regained 14.0% of their body weight over the next 52 weeks, while those who continued lost a further 5.5%.49
- TRIUMPH-6 includes a switch-to-placebo arm and will provide the first retatrutide withdrawal data, with primary completion estimated April 2028.24
Regulatory timeline
When could retatrutide be approved?
No approval date exists. Lilly plans to submit to the FDA in the first quarter of 2027 after completing its manufacturing data package. The FDA sets a decision date only after it accepts a filing, so there is no PDUFA date yet.4,32,60
- 23 Jul 2026: Lilly said it is completing the Chemistry, Manufacturing and Controls (CMC) package required for a Biologics License Application (BLA) and plans to submit in Q1 2027.4
- 5 Aug 2026 (Q2 earnings): slides list retatrutide submissions for obesity, OSA and knee OA as "now expected 2027".32 On the call, Lilly restated the Q1 2027 plan.31
- No expedited designation (priority review or a Commissioner's National Priority Voucher) had been announced for retatrutide as of 23 Sep 2026.
Review-clock scenarios (estimates, not predictions)
| Scenario | FDA goal | Earliest action (estimate) | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Standard review | 10 months after the 60-day filing date (about 12 months) | About Q1 2028 | 60 |
| Priority review | 6 months after the 60-day filing date (about 8 months) | About Q3 to Q4 2027 | 60 |
| National Priority Voucher | 1 to 2 month target (none announced for retatrutide) | Mid 2027 at the earliest | 65 |
Scenario dates are this page's arithmetic from FDA goal timelines, labeled estimates. Actual timing depends on FDA acceptance, review questions, possible advisory committees and the outcome of the classification dispute below.
What is a BLA, and why is there a legal fight about it?
A BLA is the application used for biologics such as proteins; a New Drug Application (NDA) is used for chemically defined drugs. The FDA decided retatrutide is not a biological product, Lilly sued, and the case is on appeal. The outcome affects which application Lilly files and how long it gets market exclusivity.33,61
- FDA rules treat a chain of more than 40 amino acids as a protein; shorter peptides are regulated as drugs.61 Lilly argues retatrutide qualifies under the amino acid count rule and as analogous to a protein.33
- A district court vacated FDA's decision and sent the "analogous to a protein" question back to the agency; Lilly appealed. A BLA brings 12 years of market exclusivity.33
- The appeals court hearing was reported as scheduled for 24 Sep 2026 unverified.34
What would it likely be approved for, and what could delay it?
Lilly says its data support submissions for obesity, knee osteoarthritis pain and obstructive sleep apnea. Type 2 diabetes is not in the initial list. Delays could come from the manufacturing package, the drug-versus-biologic dispute, or FDA questions about safety signals.4,32,33
- The initial TRIUMPH program enrolled more than 5,800 participants across four registrational trials.4
- Submissions slipped from 2026 to 2027 while the CMC package is completed.32,4
- Areas likely to draw regulatory questions, in this page's reading of the data: dysesthesia, the higher discontinuation rates on 12 mg, heart rate and arrhythmia, and hypotension.1,3,5,10
What remains unproven
Availability and access
Can I get a prescription for retatrutide?
No. It is not approved anywhere and is legally available only to participants in Lilly's clinical trials and a narrow expanded access program.35,1,27
- Lilly's expanded access program (NCT07629401) is for adults with BMI 35 or higher despite the highest available dose of approved weight treatment, who have two or more serious obesity complications and cannot join a trial. A physician must request it.27
Is there a legitimate compounded version?
No. The FDA states that retatrutide cannot be used in compounding under federal law.37
- In a September 2025 warning letter, FDA explained that retatrutide is not eligible for compounding under either section 503A or 503B.38
- Compounded semaglutide and tirzepatide were tolerated only during shortages; FDA declared those shortages resolved on 19 Dec 2024 (tirzepatide) and 21 Feb 2025 (semaglutide).42 Retatrutide never had that status.
What are the risks of "research peptide" retatrutide sold online?
You cannot know what is in the vial, how much, or whether it is sterile, and there is no medical oversight. FDA has sent warning letters to sellers and Lilly has sued several of them.39,62,35
- FDA warning letters to "research use only" retatrutide sellers include Gram Peptides (31 Mar 2026) and Peptide Partners and Royal Peptides (both 24 Aug 2026).62,39,40
- Lilly reported filing 6 lawsuits against sellers in August 2026.35
- When researchers bought semaglutide from illegal online pharmacies, purity was 7.7% to 14.37% and every sample contained endotoxin, although only 3 vials were tested. No published purity study of online retatrutide was found.41
How can I find a trial that is enrolling?
Search ClinicalTrials.gov for "retatrutide" and filter to "Recruiting". As of 23 Sep 2026, most large retatrutide trials have finished enrolling; the MASLD liver master protocol was still recruiting.23
Open the ClinicalTrials.gov search for recruiting retatrutide trials
| NCT | Trial | Status | Primary completion (est.) | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCT07165028 | MASLD master protocol, about 4,500 | Recruiting | Aug 2030 | 23 |
| NCT06662383 | TRIUMPH-5 vs tirzepatide, about 800 | Active, not recruiting | Nov 2026 | 20 |
| NCT06383390 | TRIUMPH-Outcomes, about 10,000 | Active, not recruiting | Feb 2029 | 21 |
| NCT07035093 | TRIUMPH-7 chronic low back pain, about 586 | Active, not recruiting | Sep 2027 | 22 |
| NCT06859268 | TRIUMPH-6 maintenance, 643 | Active, not recruiting | Apr 2028 | 24 |
| NCT07232719 | TRIUMPH-8, about 250 | Active, not recruiting | Jul 2027 | 26 |
| NCT07357415 | TRIUMPH-9 escalation schemes, about 600 | Active, not recruiting | Oct 2028 | 25 |
| NCT06260722 | TRANSCEND-T2D-2 vs semaglutide, about 1,250 | Active, not recruiting | Aug 2026 | 29 |
| NCT06297603 | TRANSCEND-T2D-3, renal impairment, about 320 | Active, not recruiting | Oct 2026 | 30 |
| NCT07629401 | Expanded access (physician request) | Available | Not applicable | 27 |
Trial status changes often. Check the registry directly and ask the site listed there; never pay a third party to "place" you in a trial.
Cost and insurance
How much will it cost, and will insurance cover it?
Unknown. Lilly has not announced a price or coverage plans. The closest guide is what the approved drugs cost in 2026, which has fallen sharply for self-paying patients.53,54,52
| Product and channel | Price | As of | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zepbound list price (pre-deal) | $1,086 | Nov 2025 | 52 |
| Wegovy list price (pre-deal) | $1,350 | Nov 2025 | 52 |
| Wegovy list price from 1 Jan 2027 | $675 | Feb 2026 | 55 |
| Zepbound self-pay, LillyDirect | $299 to $449 | Sep 2026 | 53 |
| Wegovy self-pay, NovoCare | $349 | Sep 2026 | 54 |
| Medicare price under 2025 agreements | $245 | Nov 2025 | 52 |
| Foundayo (orforglipron) self-pay, lowest dose | from $149 | Apr 2026 | 56 |
- Zepbound's $449 applies to the 7.5 to 15 mg doses when refilled within 45 days; otherwise higher doses cost $499 to $699.53
- The November 2025 agreements set a $50 Medicare copay for covered obesity drugs.52 Whether retatrutide would join such arrangements is unknown.
- Coverage for obesity drugs varies widely by employer plan and state program; expect prior authorization if covered.
What we still do not know
What are the biggest open questions?
Long-term safety, cardiovascular outcomes, head-to-head performance against tirzepatide, what happens after stopping, and full peer-reviewed details of TRIUMPH-1 through -4, none of which were published in a journal as of 23 Sep 2026.21,20,24,1
- Peer review: only TRANSCEND-T2D-1 has a Phase 3 journal paper (The Lancet, June 2026).7 Lilly says TRIUMPH-2 and -3 details will be presented at future meetings and published.4
- Head-to-head: TRIUMPH-5 vs tirzepatide (primary completion Nov 2026) and TRANSCEND-T2D-2 vs semaglutide (primary completion Aug 2026, no results announced).20,29
- Outcomes: heart and kidney events (TRIUMPH-Outcomes, Feb 2029) and liver outcomes (MASLD protocol, Aug 2030).21,23
- Mechanism: human energy-expenditure results (NCT06313528) are not posted.63
- Safety detail: the cause and long-term course of dysesthesia; Phase 3 heart rate; body composition in Phase 3.1,3
- Chronic low back pain: TRIUMPH-7 reports around September 2027.22
Changelog: when did each result come out?
Key readouts and regulatory events in date order, most recent last.
- Preclinical and Phase 1 profile published in Cell Metabolism.14
- Phase 2 obesity (NEJM, 24.2% at 48 weeks on 12 mg) and Phase 2 diabetes (Lancet) results.9,12
- Liver fat substudy in Nature Medicine.11
- DXA body-composition substudy published.13
- TRIUMPH-4 topline, first Phase 3 readout (28.7% at 68 weeks).5
- TRANSCEND-T2D-1 topline (HbA1c up to -2.0 points).6
- TRIUMPH-1 topline (28.3% at 80 weeks on 12 mg).1
- Expanded access record posted (NCT07629401).27
- Full TRIUMPH-1 and TRANSCEND-T2D-1 data at ADA; TRANSCEND-T2D-1 published in The Lancet.2,7
- TRIUMPH-2 and TRIUMPH-3 toplines; Q1 2027 US submission plan.4
- Q2 earnings: submissions "now expected 2027"; BioSpace reports on the drug-versus-biologic dispute.32,33
- Lilly announces lawsuits against illegal sellers.35
- FDA warning letters to research-peptide sellers.39,40
- Lilly announces an EASD symposium on 30 Sep 2026 in Milan featuring TRIUMPH-2.36
- This page last verified against the sources below.
Glossary
- Estimand
- The precise definition of the treatment effect a trial measures, including how it treats events like stopping the drug. "Efficacy" assumes people stay on treatment; "treatment-regimen" counts everyone as randomized.58
- HbA1c
- A blood test reflecting average blood sugar over about three months. Under 5.7% is normal; 6.5% or higher indicates diabetes; many treatment targets aim for under 7%.8
- AHI (apnea-hypopnea index)
- The number of breathing pauses or shallow-breathing episodes per hour of sleep. An AHI of 15 to 30 is moderate sleep apnea and 30 or more is severe.50
- MASLD
- Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease, the 2023 name for what was called NAFLD: excess liver fat plus at least one of five cardiometabolic risk factors.59
- BLA
- Biologics License Application, the FDA filing for biological products such as proteins (chains of more than 40 amino acids). Chemically defined drugs, including shorter peptides, use a New Drug Application (NDA).61
- PDUFA date
- The FDA's target date to act on an application, set under the Prescription Drug User Fee Act once a filing is accepted. Standard review aims for 10 months after the 60-day filing date; priority review for 6 months.60
- CVOT
- Cardiovascular outcomes trial: a large, long study counting heart attacks, strokes and cardiovascular deaths. TRIUMPH-Outcomes is retatrutide's CVOT, also tracking kidney events.21
- MACE
- Major adverse cardiovascular events. MACE-3 is cardiovascular death, heart attack or stroke; MACE-5 in TRIUMPH-3 added all-cause death, heart failure events and coronary revascularization.4
- WOMAC
- A questionnaire scoring knee or hip osteoarthritis pain, stiffness and physical function; lower is better.5
- MTD
- Maximum tolerated dose: the highest dose a person could take without unacceptable side effects, used in the TRIUMPH-1 extension and outcomes trial.1,21
- Dysesthesia
- Unpleasant or abnormal skin sensations such as tingling, burning or touch sensitivity.1
- CMC
- Chemistry, Manufacturing and Controls: the part of an application proving the product can be made consistently and safely at scale.4
Sources
Primary sources are prioritized: Lilly releases and presentations, ClinicalTrials.gov, peer-reviewed journals and FDA documents, then reputable trade press. Each entry lists the exact figures this page cites from it. A machine-readable copy is in sources.json.